boyhood-patricia-arquette

Best Original Screenplay

  • Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance) – Alejandro González Iñárritu, Nicolás Giacobone, Alexander Dinelaris, Jr. and Armando Bo
  • Boyhood – Richard Linklater
  • Foxcatcher – E. Max Frye and Dan Futterman
  • The Grand Budapest Hotel – Wes Anderson and Hugo Guinness
  • Nightcrawler – Dan Gilroy

Our Prediction: Our votes were split between Birdman, with Grand Budapest Hotel taking the others. And given the WGA win, Budapest *could* be a lock. But factor in all the non-writer’s guild voters and Birdman seems most likely to pull the upset.

We’d Like the Winner to Be: Pete votes Grand Budapest, but the rest of us are united in pulling for Nightcrawler, a terrifically lean and mean screenplay.

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Best Supporting Actress

  • Patricia Arquette – Boyhood as Olivia Evans
  • Laura Dern – Wild as Barbara “Bobbi” Grey
  • Keira Knightley – The Imitation Game as Joan Clarke
  • Emma Stone – Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance) as Sam Thomson
  • Meryl Streep – Into the Woods as The Witch

Our Prediction:Patricia Arquette, who was truly the heart of Boyhood, and whose work helped elevate the film by a significant margin.

We’d Like the Winner to Be: No argument with the prediction; it has to be Arquette.

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Best Supporting Actor

  • Robert Duvall – The Judge as Judge Joseph Palmer
  • Ethan Hawke – Boyhood as Mason Evans, Sr.
  • Edward Norton – Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)as Mike Shiner
  • Mark Ruffalo – Foxcatcher as Dave Schultz
  • J. K. Simmons – Whiplash as Terence Fletcher

Our Prediction: JK Simmons. One of two likely consensus wins this year is likely to be him, and in this case he deserves it.

We’d Like the Winner to Be: Simmons, and totally not because we’re scared he’ll throw something at us if we nodded in the direction of Edward Norton.

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Best Actress

  • Marion Cotillard – Two Days, One Night as Sandra Bya
  • Felicity Jones – The Theory of Everything as Jane Wilde Hawking
  • Julianne Moore – Still Alice as Dr. Alice Howland
  • Rosamund Pike – Gone Girl as Amy Elliott-Dunne
  • Reese Witherspoon – Wild as Cheryl Strayed

Our Prediction: Julianne Moore, who has attracted great attention for a film relatively few people seem to have seen. Assuming some Oscar voters will choose based on consensus when they don’t have their own opinion, rather than abstaining, Moore would be the choice here.

We’d like the winner to be: Rosamund Pike, whose work in Gone Girl is compelling and devious.

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Best Actor

  • Steve Carell – Foxcatcher as John Eleuthère du Pont
  • Bradley Cooper – American Sniper as Chris Kyle
  • Benedict Cumberbatch – The Imitation Game as Alan Turing
  • Michael Keaton – Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)as Riggan Thomson / Birdman
  • Eddie Redmayne – The Theory of Everything as Stephen Hawking

Our Prediction: Eddie Redmayne’s work as Stephen Hawking is good, and more importantly it is the sort of good that the Academy loves, in the sort of film the Academy loves. He’s not a lock, but he’s the forerunner.

We’d like the winner to be: Michael Keaton, whose work in Birdman is exceptionally lively without sacrificing nuance.

***

Best Director

  • Wes Anderson – The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • Alejandro González Iñárritu – Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)
  • Richard Linklater – Boyhood
  • Bennett Miller – Foxcatcher
  • Morten Tyldum – The Imitation Game

Our Prediction: Split between Iñárritu and Linklater, with some expectation of a split Picture/Director decision. Given the depth of his dedication to Boyhood over many years, Linklater is the best choice.

We’d like the winner to be: Richard Linklater.

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Best Picture

  • American Sniper – Clint Eastwood, Robert Lorenz, Andrew Lazar,Bradley Cooper and Peter Morgan
  • Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance) – Alejandro González Iñárritu, John Lesher and James W. Skotchdopole
  • Boyhood – Richard Linklater and Cathleen Sutherland
  • The Grand Budapest Hotel – Wes Anderson, Scott Rudin, Steven Rales and Jeremy Dawson
  • The Imitation Game – Nora Grossman, Ido Ostrowsky and Teddy Schwarzman
  • Selma – Christian Colson, Oprah Winfrey, Dede Gardner and Jeremy Kleiner
  • The Theory of Everything – Tim Bevan, Eric Fellner, Lisa Bruce andAnthony McCarten
  • Whiplash – Jason Blum, Helen Estabrook and David Lancaster

Our Prediction: Birdman, despite the fact that Boyhood once seemed to have great momentum, around the time of the Golden Globes. But thanks in part to the other guild awards, especially the PGA award, we’re calling it for Birdman.

We’d Like the Winner to Be: There’s a big push here for Boyhood amongst the staff, with Selma as strong competitor.

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