The last big indicator of how the Oscar nominations are likely to shake out is the nomination set for the Director’s Guild of America’s award for Outstanding Directorial Achievement. The DGA and Best Director Oscar awards often line up directly (there have been only six deviations since the DGA awards began in 1948) and before the Best Picture Oscar set was widened to ten films, the DGA nominations were a very good indicator of how that race would go, as well.

Now the 2010 nominations are out, and for the most part they conform to the well-established 2010 awards consensus. See the list below.

If there’s a surprise here, given the way the awards season has been going, it’s that David O. Russell got a nod for The Fighter (a film I love, and a deserving nod, I believe) and that Joel and Ethan Coen were shut out for their work on the equally deserving True Grit. That probably limits True Grit‘s chances when it comes to the top Oscars, though the film’s actors and cinematographer Roger Deakins could all see Oscar recognition. And it’s too bad that Winter’s Bone director Debra Granik didn’t make the list.

Still, it’s neat to see this crop of directors that emerged into the ’90s seeming to storm the Best Director race. Here are the nominations:

Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan
David Fincher, The Social Network
Tom Hooper, The King’s Speech
Christopher Nolan, Inception
David O. Russell, The Fighter

The winner will be announced at the 63rd Annual DGA Awards Dinner on Saturday, January 29.

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