Posted on Thursday, November 7th, 2013 by Peter Sciretta
If Grand Theft Auto V were a theatrically-released movie instead of a video game, enough people would have bought tickets to earn only $227.4 million at the global box office. That box office number would be just enough to make it only the #453 largest grossing film ever worldwide – just under The Green Hornet, The Heat, Mr. Bean’s Holiday and Space Jam.
I’ll admit, I’m trolling video gamers a bit with this comparison — But I got your attention right? That said, the math is real:
If you’ve gotten this far (five sentences in) and didn’t just jump directly to the comments to post how I’m an idiot after reading only the headline or first sentence – Thank you smart reader! This actually isn’t the video game hit piece you might expect from the headline. The report on GTA V’s sales last week sent me on a journey to see how that, and the video game industry as a whole, compares to the movie business. Please join me in taking a fair and balanced look at the real numbers, perceived value and how its unfair to compare two entertainment industries in simple terms.
Take Two announced earlier this week that 29 million copies of Grand Theft Auto V have been sold since the launch on September 17th 2013. This destroys the record for the fastest-selling entertainment release of any kind.
Take Two doesn’t, however, give any indication of the gross sales amount, but it was reported that the game grossed over $800 million in retail sales during the first 24 hours after launch and crossed over $1 billion in the first three days. While normal copies of the game cost $59,99 retail, they also produced a $149.99 Collector’s Edition and a $79.99 special edition — so its hard to say just how much they have grossed at this time. Over $1b in sales in just days is a huge number, and that will grow..
So how does this compare to the movie world? Are video games really that much bigger than the movie industry? Its more complex than a simple yes or no.
To give you some perspective from the movie world, the closest thing to a video game would be a computer animated feature film. The average Pixar film takes about five years to develop and produce, and costs around $250 million (including prints and advertising). One newspaper estimated that Take Two and Rockstar spent around $265 million in developing and releasing GTA V (a number that has been repeated on countless blogs without fact checking or response from the companies), although the real number is likely higher.
Pixar’s latest film Monsters University grossed $742,855,463 worldwide, which amounts to something like 80 million tickets. So while the amount of people that bought tickets to MU was almost three times that of GTA V buyers, the theatrical gross is less than half.
So games make more money than movies… well, if you just want to compare box office to video game discs sold. But if you want to look at the whole picture, its not the same story.
Consumers spend an estimated $18 billion watching movies at home, and this is on the rise. MU hits home video this week, so I’ll use Brave as an example for home video: The 2012 film sold 2.4 million units on Blu-ray, and 5.8 million units on DVD, for $151.3 million total.
Digital distribution now accounts for nearly 30 percent of that $18 billion domestic home-video market. Digital and streaming sales/rental figures are not available to the public. (Studios don’t want anyone to know how much they make.) We do know that Bridesmaids grossed $40 million domestically from VOD with over seven million orders in just over four months of release. Ten years ago Pixar films would sell double to triple the amount of DVDs alone. For example, 2003′s Finding Nemo sold over 40 million DVDs in the first three years on store shelves. So we’re sure studios are selling unreported millions of copies on streaming/digital/vod, adding millions to the pot.
And studios also make a bunch from licensing out their movies for television broadcast. Depending on the movie, a premium pay-TV cable network will pay as high as $30 million for a box office hit, with the average being closer to one third of that number. The biggest network television licensing deal was for the first two Harry Potter films on ABC, a ten year deal costing $70 million a film.
So from what I can see in the limited numbers available to the public, a movie can make upwards of $350 million in the home video and television market combined. The largest grossing movie of all time, Avatar, grossed almost $2.8 billion worldwide, selling about 340 million tickets. The James Cameron film sold a reported 11 million units on DVD and almost 7 million units on Blu-ray, for a total nearing $350 million in home video revenue (not including VOD/streaming…etc).
And some big films spawn theme park lands and attractions, something that has yet to really happen in the video game space. Insiders estimate Avatar Land could cost as much as $500 million once licensing rights and consulting fees to Cameron are factored in. Cameron and Fox are also set to receive a share of the Avatar merchandise sold in the park.
Continue reading on the next page and we’ll talk about merchandising, perception of value, a few things people don’t normally think about when you see big movie and video game numbers in blog posts and news stories, the bottom line numbers of how many video games are sold vs. movies watched, and why the media is obsessed with comparing the two industries, and more.