Fool's GoldThe 3-day estimate for Fool’s Gold (Warner Bros) I released Friday night (see below) was dead-on, but I underestimated the Saturday surge for Welcome Home, Roscoe Jenkins (Universal). The Matthew McConaughey/Kate Hudson romatic comedy received a 23% Saturday bump for an estimated day 2 take of $9.4M. Gold will finish the weekend with $22.42M, making it the all-time 3rd-best McConaughey opening and the all-time 2nd-best Hudson opening.

The Martin Lawrence comedy vehicle Roscoe Jenkins, got a terrific 55% Saturday bump for a better-than-expected $7.67M Saturday. I’m revising my Friday 3-day estimate of $14.1M to a stronger $16.68M opening weekend, but it’s still only the all-time 8th-best opening in Lawrence’s career.

Hannah Montana/Miley Cyrus: Best of Both Worlds (Disney) appears to be running out of gas. The 3D concert movie was up 57% on Saturday, but that translates to a less-than-expected $4.47M Saturday. Hannah will finish the weekend at #3 with an estimated $10.36M and a new 10-day cume of $53.2M.

The Jessica Alba horror pic The Eye (Lionsgate) is holding up surprisingly well, grabbing $2.93M on Saturday. It’s headed for a $6.61M 2nd weekend, good for 4th place. Meanwhile Juno (Fox Searchlight) keeps drawing crowds with a 5th place finish. The Oscar-nominated indie sensation collected another $2.69M on Saturday, and it has a $5.91M 3-day target. By Monday morning, Juno will likely be just shy of $118M domestic.

Both In Bruge (Focus) and The Band’s Visit (Sony Classics) are legitimate arthouse hits. The Colin Farell comedy, on 28 screens, will finish the weekend with about $477,000 for a 3-day PTA of just over $17,000. The Band’s Visit, a winner of 9 Israeli Film Academy Awards debuting on 7 screens, generated a strong $78,000 in 3-days for an $11,000+ weekend PTA.

The 2 big weekend losers are Vince Vaughn and Paris Hilton. Vaughn’s Wild West Comedy Show (Picturehouse) rolled out at 962 locations and will manage only $475,000 or $494 per screen for the weekend.

IThe weekend’s biggest punchline, however, is reserved for Paris Hilton’s The Hottie & the Nottie (Regent Releasing). The final count will show that the critically reviled comedy featuring the seemingly talentless Hilton will sell a meager $25,500 in tickets at 111 locations over the weekend. That’s only $230 per screen for the theatres that were convinced to book this disaster. That means that, based on an $8 average ticket price, 29 paying customers showed up at each location over the 3-day. In a country that seems fascinated with Paris Hilton, only 3,219 unlucky Americans will have been suckered into seeing Hottie by Monday morning.

EXCLUSIVE FANTASY MOGULS EARLY SATURDAY ESTIMATES
1. Fool’s Gold (Warner Bros) – $9.4M – $3,011 PTA – $17.05M cume
2. Welcome Home, Roscoe Jenkins (Universal) – $7.67M – $3,217 PTA – $12.62M cume
3. Hannah Montana: Best of Both Worlds (Disney) – $4.47M – $6,513 PTA – $50.2M cume
4. The Eye (Lionsgate) – $2.93M – $1,190 PTA – $19.9M cume
5. Juno (Fox Searchlight) – $2.69M – $1,162 PTA – $116.2M cume
6. 27 Dresses (Fox) – $2.58M – $910 PTA – $63.9M cume
7. The Bucket List (Warner Bros) – $2.57M – $936 PTA – $73.7M cume
8. Rambo (Lionsgate) – $2.02M – $746 PTA – $35.6M cume
9. Meet the Spartans (Fox) – $1.98M – $813 PTA – $32.9M cume
10. There Will Be Blood (Paramount Vantage) – $1.87M – $1,158 PTA – $25.6M cume
11. Untraceable (Sony) – $1.67M – $782 PTA – $23.5M cume
12. Cloverfield (Paramount) – $1.3M – $645 PTA – $75.3M cume
*In Bruges (Focus Features) – $208,000 – $7,429 PTA – $336,000 cume
*Vince Vaughn’s Wild West Comedy Show (Picturehouse) – $205,000 – $213 PTA – $360,000 cume
*The Band’s Visit (Sony Classics) – $36,000 – $5,143 PTA – $52,000 cume
*Hottie & the Nottie (Regent Releasing) – $10,440 – $94 PTA – $19,440 cume

EXCLUSIVE FANTASY MOGULS REVISED 3-DAY ESTIMATES
1. Fool’s Gold (Warner Bros) – $22.42M – $7,175 PTA – $22.42M cume
2. Welcome Home, Roscoe Jenkins (Universal) – $16.68M – $6,997 PTA – $16.68M cume
3. Hannah Montana: Best of Both Worlds (Disney) – $10.36M – $15,090 PTA – $53.2M cume
4. The Eye (Lionsgate) – $6.61M – $2,677 PTA – $21.5M cume
5. Juno (Fox Searchlight) – $5.91M – $2,548 PTA – $117.8M cume
6. 27 Dresses (Fox) – $5.83M – $2,054 PTA – $65.5M cume
7. The Bucket List (Warner Bros) – $5.48M – $1,993 PTA – $75.2M cume
8. Rambo (Lionsgate) – $4.44M – $1,636 PTA – $36.8M cume
9. Meet the Spartans (Fox) – $4.1939 M – $1,715 PTA – $33M cume
10. There Will Be Blood (Paramount Vantage) – $4.1932M – $2,588 PTA – $26.9M cume
11. Untraceable (Sony) – $3.67M – $1,715 PTA – $24.5M cume
12. Cloverfield (Paramount) – $2.81M – $1,385 PTA – $76M cume
*In Bruges (Focus Features) – $477,000 – $17,036 PTA – $477,000
*Vince Vaughn’s Wild West Comedy Show (Picturehouse)     $475,000 – $494 PTA – $475,000 cume   *The Band’s Visit (Sony Classics) – $78,000 – $11,143 PTA – $78,000 cume
*Hottie & the Nottie (Regent Releasing) – $25,500 – $230 PTA – $25,500 cume

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