Comments on: 2008 Academy Awards Odds

By: Dylan McAvenia.

Dylan McAvenia. — Wed, 23 Jan 2008 19:05:00 +0000

Daniel Day Lewis won this oscar two weeks ago.

By: Jamie

Jamie — Wed, 23 Jan 2008 01:59:16 +0000

It depends on what you think is good. A lower number means there is a higher chance a particular film will be a winner. A higher number means the odds are longer but the payoff is greater (if you were actually using these odds for wagering).

So if you bet on Old Men for Best Picture and bet a dollar, you’d win 91 cents (10/11). 10 divided by 11 = .91. That’s the payout. Not very good for risking a dollar - that means it’s an extreme favorite by their calculations.

On the other hand, if you’re Peter Sciretta, you’ll bet your buck on Juno for Best Picture at 7/2 odds. 7 divided by 2 = 3.50. That means Peter will win $3.50 if the dark horse comes in.

By: Mark

Mark — Wed, 23 Jan 2008 00:28:16 +0000

And can somebody please explain to me, what these strange numbers mean (like 10/11 or 3/1)? Is a greater or a smaller number “good”?

By: Mark

Mark — Wed, 23 Jan 2008 00:20:49 +0000

@thomas: There will always be different opinions. But I agree with most of the Academy nominations. Denzel Washington’s performance was good, but there are only five Best Actors - to include him they whould have to leave another one out. I haven’t seen Tommy Lee Jones in “In the Valley of Elah” yet, but the other four actors definitely deserved their nominations. At the moment I would even consider James McAvoy’s performance as the runner-up to those five noms.

Regardless of the performances I’m not really a great fan of “American Gangster”. Like I wrote in the other thread it’s inferior to “The Departed” and Ridley Scott has his usual problems with the final cut.

By: Jamie

Jamie — Tue, 22 Jan 2008 21:58:48 +0000

In terms of odds, I’d have to disagree with putting Jason Reitman above Paul Thomas Anderson for best director.

Juno has very high awareness, so do Page and Cody. Reitman doesn’t. I would also put Page as the highest for the winning Best Actress…

Juno will most likely take home Best Original Screenplay and plus an Oscar for page.

By: dan

dan — Tue, 22 Jan 2008 21:36:21 +0000

I wouldn’y say CRAZY, Viggo did a fantastic job in EP…as for Depp, I loveh im..but I don’t think he’s Best Actor worthy over Denzel.

By: thomas

thomas — Tue, 22 Jan 2008 20:37:02 +0000

WTF!!!!!! Denzel Washington gets NO nods for his work in American Gangster AND the great debators BUT Viggo Mortesen and Johnny Depp do. Hollywood has officially gone crazy