There is something for everyone at America’s multiplexes and arthouses this weekend, and a fair share of the wide release and specialty fare is performing well.
By end of business on Wednesday, Will Smith’s I Am Legend (Warner Bros) will likely be the 8th-best grossing 2007 release at $207.3M, Alvin & the Chipmunks (Fox) will be #12 with $161.92M and National Treasure: Book of Secrets (Disney) will be the 14th top performer of the year’s releases with $142.21M. With numbers like that 2007 is going out with a bang.
Treasure was basically flat Friday-to-Saturday and the latest adventure for treasure hunter Ben Gates should manage a $35.77M 3-day and a 5-day of $53.81M. Surprise hit Alvin continues to amaze at #2 and Legend is running 3rd.
Oscar caliber films like Charlie Wilson’s War, Juno, Atonement and others are performing in more limited release. For Oscar followers here’s a breakdown of how potential Best Picture nominees are projected to perform over the 5-day New Years Holiday.
PROJECTED 5-DAY NEW YEARS BOX OFFICE PERFORMANCE OF BEST PICTURE CONTENDERS
1. Charlie Wilson’s War - $19.24M [$41.98M cume]
2. Juno - $15.8M [$31.18M cume]
3. Sweeney Todd - $12.47M [$31.19M cume]
4. The Great Debaters - $9.67M [$16.91M cume]
5. Atonement - $4.82M [$12.93M cume]
6. The Kite Runner - $2.39M [$5.88M cume]
7. No Country For Old Men - $2.33M [$41.15M cume]
8. The Diving Bell & the Butterfly - $390,720 [$1M cume]
9. There Will Be Blood - $311,000 [$434,000 cume]
PROJECTED 5-DAY NEW YEARS PER THEATRE AVERAGE OF BEST PICTURE CONTENDERS
1. There Will Be Blood - 2 locations - $155,000 PTA
2. Juno - 998 locations - $15,833 PTA
3. Atonement - 310 locations - $15,552 PTA
4. Sweeney Todd - 1,249 locations - $9,989 PTA
5. The Diving Bell & the Butterfly - 42 locations - $9,303 PTA
6. The Great Debaters - 1,164 locations - $8,312 PTA
7. Charlie Wilson’s War - 2,575 locations - $7,474 PTA
8. The Kite Runner - 377 locations - $6,345 PTA
9. No Country For Old Men - 960 locations - $2,434 PTA
Here are my early Saturday, Revised 3-day and Revised 5-day estimates.
EXCLUSIVE FANTASY MOGULS EARLY SATURDAYÂ ESTIMATES
1. National Treasure: Book of Secrets (Disney) - $12.46M, $3,253 PTA [$113.08M cume]
2. Alvin and the Chipmunks (Fox) - $10.79M, $3,099 PTA [$133.55M cume]
3. I Am Legend (Warner Bros.) - $9.98M, $2,747 PTA [$186.2M cume]
4. Charlie Wilson’s War (Universal) - $4.29M, $1,666 PTA [$30.92M cume]
5. NEW - Alien vs. Predator: Requiem - $3.46M, $1,350 PTA [$23.65M cume]
6. Juno (Fox Searchlight) - $3.44M, $3,451 PTA [$22.1M cume]
7. P.S. I Love You (Warner Bros.) - $3.18M, $1,291 PTA [$20.47M cume]
8. NEW - The Water Horse: Legend of the Deep (Sony) - $3.07M, $1,111 PTA [$13.87M cume]
9. Sweeney Todd (Dreamworks/Paramount) - $2.9M, $2,322 PTA [$24.26M cume]
10. Enchanted (Disney) - $2.37M, $1,052 PTA [$108.83M cume]
11. NEW - The Great Debaters (Weinstein/MGM) - $2.3M, $1,976 PTA [$11.54M cume]
12. The Golden Compass (New Line) - $1.56M, $807 PTA [$57.53M cume]
13. NEW - Walk Hard: The Dewey Cox Story (Sony) - $1.22M, $461 PTA [$11.05M cume]
14. Atonement (Focus) - $1.07M, $3,480 PTA [$10.12MÂ cume]
15. No Country for Old Men (Miramax) - $655,000, $682 PTA [$40M cume]
16. The Kite Runner (Paramount Vantage) - $575,000, $1,525 PTA [$4.5M cume]
*The Savages (Fox Searchlight) - $160,000, $1,441 PTA [$1.4M cume]
*The Diving Bell and the Butterfly (Miramax) - $95,000, $2,262 PTA [$779,000 cume]
*NEW - There Will Be Blood (Paramount Vantage) - $66,000, $33,000 PTA [$249,500 cume]
*NEW - The Orphanage (Picturehouse) - $65,000, $3,611 PTA [$125,000 cume]
*NEW - The Bucket List (Warner Bros) - $64,000, $4,000 PTA [$394,000 cume]
*NEW - Persepolis (Sony Classics) -$23,000, $3,833 [$117,000 cume]
*NEW - Honeydripper (Emerging Pictures) - $1,930, $643 PTA [$5,146 cume]
EXCLUSIVE FANTASY MOGULS REVISED 3-DAYÂ ESTIMATES
1. National Treasure: Book of Secrets (Disney) - $35.77M, $9,337 PTA [$124.18M cume]
2. Alvin and the Chipmunks (Fox) - $30.99M, $8,897 PTA [$143.37M cume]
3. I Am Legend (Warner Bros.) - $27.64M, $7,603 PTA [$194.72M cume]
4. Charlie Wilson’s War (Universal) - $12.05M, $4,680 PTA [$34.78M cume]
5. Juno (Fox Searchlight) - $9.92M, $9,947 PTA [$25.3M cume]
6. NEW - Alien vs. Predator: Requiem - $9.69M, $3,782 PTA [$26.52M cume]
7. P.S. I Love You (Warner Bros.) - $9.01M, $3,657 PTA [$23.3M cume]
8. NEW - The Water Horse: Legend of the Deep (Sony) - $8.96M, $3,234 PTA [$16.58M cume]
9. Sweeney Todd (Dreamworks/Paramount) - $8.09M, $6,483 PTA [$26.81M cume]
10. Enchanted (Disney) - $6.83M, $3,020 PTA [$110.9M cume]
11. NEW - The Great Debaters (Weinstein/MGM) - $6.3M, $5,413 PTA [$13,54M cume]
12. The Golden Compass (New Line) - $4.41M, $2,280 PTA [$58.92M cume]
13. NEW Walk Hard: The Dewey Cox Story (Sony) - $3.56M, $1,346 PTA [$12.11M cume]
14. Atonement (Focus) - $3.01M $9,716 PTA [$11.12MÂ cume]
15. No Country for Old Men (Miramax) - $1.75M, $1,827 PTA [$40.5 cume]
17. The Kite Runner (Paramount Vantage) - $1.54M, $4,101 PTA [$5M cume]
*The Savages (Fox Searchlight) - $422,600, $3,807 PTA [$1.5M cume]
*The Diving Bell and the Butterfly (Miramax) - $251,150, $5,980 PTA [$867,000 cume]
*NEW - There Will Be Blood (Paramount Vantage) - $190,331, $95,166 PTA [$313,000 cume]
*NEW - The Orphanage (Picturehouse) - $184,288, $10,238 PTA [$184,000 cume]
*NEW - The Bucket List (Warner Bros) - $169,960, $10,623 PTA [$451,000 cume]
*NEW - Persepolis (Sony Classics) -$61,042, $10,174 PTA [$137,000 cume]
*NEW - Honeydripper (Emerging Pictures) - $6,689, $2,230 PTA [$6,689 cume]
EXCLUSIVE FANTASY MOGULS REVISED 5-DAYÂ ESTIMATES
1. National Treasure: Book of Secrets (Disney) - $53.81M, $14,043 PTA [$142.1M cume]
2. Alvin and the Chipmunks (Fox) - $49.54M, $14,222 PTA [$161.92M cume]
3. I Am Legend (Warner Bros.) - $40.22M, $11,063 PTA [$207.3M cume]
4. Charlie Wilson’s War (Universal) - $19.24M, $7,474 PTA [$41.98M cume]
5. Juno (Fox Searchlight) - $15.8M, $15,833 PTA [$31.18M cume]
6. NEW - The Water Horse: Legend of the Deep (Sony) - $14.19M, $5,122 PTA [$21.81M cume]
7. P.S. I Love You (Warner Bros.) - $13.9M, $5,643 PTA [$28.2M cume]
8. NEW - Alien vs. Predator: Requiem - $13.57M, $5,296 PTA [$30.4M cume]
9. Sweeney Todd (Dreamworks/Paramount) - $12.47M, $9.989 PTA [$31.42 cume]
10. Enchanted (Disney) - $10.64M, $4,706 PTA [$114.7M cume]
11. NEW - The Great Debaters (Weinstein/MGM) - $9.67M, $8,312 PTA [$16.9M cume]
12. The Golden Compass (New Line) - $6.79M, $3,514 PTA [$61.3M cume]
13. NEW Walk Hard: The Dewey Cox Story (Sony) - $4.98M, $1,882 PTA [$13.53M cume]
14. Atonement (Focus) - $4.82M $15,552 PTA [$12.9MÂ cume]
15. The Kite Runner (Paramount Vantage) - $2.39M, $6,345 PTA [$5.88M cume]
16. No Country for Old Men (Miramax) - $2.33M, $2,434 PTA [$41.1 cume]
*The Savages (Fox Searchlight) - $650,950, $5,864 PTA [$1.7M cume]
*The Diving Bell and the Butterfly (Miramax) - $390,720, $9,303 PTA [$1M cume]
*NEW - There Will Be Blood (Paramount Vantage) - $311,080, $155,540 PTA [$433,609 cume]
*NEW - The Orphanage (Picturehouse) - $287,817, $15,990 PTA [$287,817 cume]
*NEW - The Bucket List (Warner Bros) - $248,600, $15,538 PTA [$530,000 cume]
*NEW - Persepolis (Sony Classics) -$91,805, $15,301 PTA [$168,000 cume]
*NEW - Honeydripper (Emerging Pictures) - $10,188, $3,396 PTA [$10,188 cume]
Read More at Fantasy Moguls.
December 30th, 2007 at 6:17 am
Is anyone else just completely shocked by how well Alvin & The Chipmunks is doing? It looked absolutely horrible and got terrible reviews. I just didn’t think it had the appeal to be very successful, especially with so many other family movies to choose from. I thought it would be out of theatres in two weeks, tops.
December 30th, 2007 at 11:19 am
Did I read that correct: there will be blood did 155 thou at two locations?!?! Imagine what a properly marketed and released campaign would have accomplished? Its very frustrating to think that poor PR, release management, etc could hurt this films chances of reaching the masses. Very fuking frustrating. If Lewis doesnt get an Oscar nod, it will be downright infuriating!
December 30th, 2007 at 11:36 pm
@Orange,
Yeah, I am really perplexed by journalists’ trendy new outlook that There Will Be Blood can only play metropolitan screens and that its box office prospects are dire. You know, a damn good movie is a damn good movie, and while a lot of adults don’t have the time or patience to dig a meditational art flick, There Will Be Blood is a lot more than that. It’s simply great cinema.
Boogie Nights has a huge following, it’s not even a cult film, while Magnolia is a big cult favorite. Anderson isn’t some no-name director. Promote the film like crazy and say it’s important. And journalists, stop even saying that this film can’t play red states and all of that snobbery. Why even make films if you’re not going to play them for as big an audience as possible? Have a little faith. There Wil Be Blood is not Days of Heaven, it’s easier to sell.
@anonymous,
Alvin’s performance is pretty nuts. But it’s strange how this is a long lasting famous franchise but you don’t hear about it anymore except at Christmas. I mean, at one point Alvin & CC was as ubiqutous as Transformers or GI Joe. I’ve read that the film actually isn’t horrible. Anyone seen it? I wasn’t mad at this film like Garfield. However, my respect for David Cross has finally diminished.
December 31st, 2007 at 6:12 pm
I have to think that the reason that Alvin is doing so well is the total lack of kids films this Christmas season. What has been released this season for kids? Golden Compass? Not for the under 10 crowd. Bee Movie was released the first week of Nov and is out of the theaters already. They should have held onto it a little longer. If only they would have saved some of those kid movies from this crowded summer. I took my boys to National Treasure and we have nothing else to see. Everything else is rated R or not any good.