After taking some time off from my predictions, I see now that I was very rusty in my first week back last week. I had one of my worst (if not the worst) week in doing these predictions. But that is in the past now. Everything was screwed up because nobody wanted to spend their movie theater money in April. Everyone has been eagerly awaiting May and its triumvirate of trilogies. Well, we are finally here, the first weekend in May. This week should be much easier to predict as only two new movies are opening in wide release, and only one of those matters.

1. Spider-Man 3. In the past, I have tried to stay away from the phrase, “no brainer” when making these predictions, because I don’t want the task to look easy. But I would have to be the best b.s. artist of all time if I could sell a reader that this wasn’t the easiest pick for #1 in the nearly year and a half that I’ve been doing these predictions on Slashfilm. That being said, the trick isn’t so much picking Spider-Man 3 as #1. The real trick is picking a dollar figure for how much the movie will make in its opening weekend. Slashfilm has had stories about tracking the ticket sales and that all indications are that the movie is going to make over $100 million. But there have been some bad reviews of the film showing up. Will that keep some movie goers away? I doubt it. It won’t do quite as well as the first Spider-Man, but it will come close with $110 million.

2. Disturbia. Now on to the less than consequential movies of the week. When a movie is #1 at the Box Office for three weeks in a row, you expect it to make more than $52 million in that time. But that is what Disturbia has made in its three weeks at the top. This week I somehow doubt it will have enough steam to stay there for a fourth week. But it should make enough among the other movies this week to come in second. It will make $6 million.

3. The Invisible. It had a decent opening last week with just under $8 million. I don’t see much reason to think it will somehow have much staying power. It will drop down to $5 million.

4. Next. The producers of Next had to have been very disappointed with the low $7 million that it made last week (I know my pride was disappointed). There have to be a few people out there who want to see it but who haven’t yet and don’t want to get caught in the crowds of a Spider-Man 3 screen this week. Enough will go to help it bring in $4 million.

5. Lucky You. I decided to throw Lucky You a bone for being the only film to open up in wide release against Spider-Man 3. It is from an acclaimed director and stars Eric Bana and Drew Barrymore. But it has gotten nearly zero press. I saw Barrymore on Letterman last night promoting it and that was the first I had really heard of it. But all it has to do to crack the top 5 is make $3 million, which it should be able to do.

That’s it. Spider-Man 3 will have a huge opening, on its way in a few weeks to toping 300 as the highest grossing film of 2007 so far, which it probably won’t hold on to for very long. Everything else will only find the crumbs that Spider-Man 3 drops from its Box Office table.